Allan Lichtman On 2024 Election Results. While campaign events and speeches draw much attention, lichtman argues that the governing of the incumbent party is more predictive of election outcomes. Allan lichtman, the historian who predicted 9 of the 10 last elections, failed to accurately predict who voters would chose to become the 47th president of the united states.
In his latest analysis, historian allan lichtman discussed the unprecedented anxiety and polarization surrounding the 2024 u.s. But silver uses an entirely different strategy and set of data points to examine the state of an election.